{"drop_id": 341, "sample": "random", "date": "2017-12-14", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Claims about the past (raid of the Obama library) and questions."}
{"drop_id": 58, "sample": "random", "date": "2017-11-02", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Background material and rhetorical questions about Huma Abedin."}
{"drop_id": 13, "sample": "random", "date": "2017-10-30", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Hint about the timing of a trip; no future event asserted."}
{"drop_id": 393, "sample": "random", "date": "2017-12-20", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Recode le 2026-10-12 (revision 3, relecture complete). Q annonce sa propre communication (message personnalise aux moderateurs) : activite de Q, pas une prediction. Ancienne note : Explicit future event with a time window ('within the next few months'), not convertible to a precise date."}
{"drop_id": 143, "sample": "random", "date": "2017-11-12", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Confirmation of an anon's find; no future claim."}
{"drop_id": 127, "sample": "random", "date": "2017-11-08", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Taunt to intelligence agencies; 'Titanic' is a codeword, not a prediction."}
{"drop_id": 115, "sample": "random", "date": "2017-11-06", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Exclamation reply only."}
{"drop_id": 72, "sample": "random", "date": "2017-11-04", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Present-state claims ('SA is the primary')."}
{"drop_id": 391, "sample": "random", "date": "2017-12-20", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'Goodbye C.' too cryptic to identify an object; questions only."}
{"drop_id": 53, "sample": "random", "date": "2017-11-02", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Rhetorical questions about foundations; 'ONLY ONE WAY' is a slogan."}
{"drop_id": 831, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-03-04", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Slogan / meta."}
{"drop_id": 2252, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-09-21", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q implies that Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein will leave or be removed from office", "subjects": ["Rod Rosenstein"], "event_type": "resignation", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "specific"}], "notes": "'Goodbye, Mr. Rosenstein' posted with the NYT 25th-amendment/wire story: implicit prediction of departure with a clear object."}
{"drop_id": 599, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-01-23", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Slogans."}
{"drop_id": 591, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-01-23", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Tripcode test."}
{"drop_id": 858, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-03-06", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'Trust the plan' slogan."}
{"drop_id": 1383, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-05-16", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Empty reply (only a post reference)."}
{"drop_id": 1452, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-06-11", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'You have more than you know': no future event."}
{"drop_id": 2603, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-12-12", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q suggests that a prosecutor outside DC appointed by Jeff Sessions (implicitly John Huber) will soon bring historic prosecutions", "subjects": ["Jeff Sessions", "John Huber"], "event_type": "indictment", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "relative", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Rhetorical question followed by the assertion 'NOT LONG NOW': imminent event with an identifiable object, but no checkable detail."}
{"drop_id": 577, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-01-22", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that this week will bring revelations (in context: a 'flood' of emails, videos and other material)", "subjects": [], "event_type": "disclosure", "deadline": "2018-01-28", "deadline_type": "relative", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "'This week will be revealing' anchored in time; context (ref) is the 'flood' of leaks. '2018 will be GLORIOUS' is a slogan and is not counted."}
{"drop_id": 1295, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-04-29", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Warning about grifters; no future event."}
{"drop_id": 2241, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-09-21", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Link + praise."}
{"drop_id": 1392, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-05-17", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Authentication of a document (present)."}
{"drop_id": 2366, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-10-08", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Link only."}
{"drop_id": 1647, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-06-30", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Rhetorical questions."}
{"drop_id": 486, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-01-07", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Rhetorical questions."}
{"drop_id": 1130, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-04-12", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Comment on an anon's find."}
{"drop_id": 2255, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-09-21", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Interpretation of past events ('PANIC', 'CLOCKWORK')."}
{"drop_id": 1908, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-08-16", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Rhetorical questions about Snowden's route (past)."}
{"drop_id": 1646, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-06-30", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Manifesto; 'THEY KNOW WHAT IS COMING' is a vague slogan not tied to an event."}
{"drop_id": 1113, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-04-09", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Comment on past Syria chemical event."}
{"drop_id": 1369, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-05-15", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Declaration of Independence quote + slogan."}
{"drop_id": 1893, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-08-15", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Questions about Jeff Zucker."}
{"drop_id": 893, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-03-09", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'We can take you anytime' is a threat/capability claim, not a prediction."}
{"drop_id": 854, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-03-06", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Hard case: 'Is the stage set for a drop of HRC raw vid?' strongly hints at a release but is phrased as a question; 'The choice, to KNOW, will be yours' is a slogan. Rhetorical question alone -> not counted."}
{"drop_id": 2073, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-09-04", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Empty reply."}
{"drop_id": 871, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-03-07", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Tripcode test."}
{"drop_id": 1985, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-08-29", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Slogan."}
{"drop_id": 1923, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-08-16", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Comment on a BBC piece."}
{"drop_id": 1588, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-06-27", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Comment on an image (past)."}
{"drop_id": 648, "sample": "random", "date": "2018-02-01", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Comment on a past speech ('activation code')."}
{"drop_id": 3623, "sample": "random", "date": "2019-11-23", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Commentary on foreign aid (present)."}
{"drop_id": 2904, "sample": "random", "date": "2019-02-26", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Bible quote."}
{"drop_id": 3451, "sample": "random", "date": "2019-07-18", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Link + 'Explore further'."}
{"drop_id": 2808, "sample": "random", "date": "2019-02-19", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Thanks."}
{"drop_id": 3269, "sample": "random", "date": "2019-03-28", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'Enjoy the show' slogan."}
{"drop_id": 3415, "sample": "random", "date": "2019-07-12", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that more news/actions against Planned Parenthood are coming, following the court ruling allowing defunding", "subjects": ["Planned Parenthood"], "event_type": "other", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "'More coming' tied to a specific topic ([PP] defunding news), hence counted, but very vague."}
{"drop_id": 3044, "sample": "random", "date": "2019-03-13", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Rhetorical question."}
{"drop_id": 2787, "sample": "random", "date": "2019-02-18", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Rhetorical questions; 'a new word for treason will need to be invented' is hyperbole, not a checkable event."}
{"drop_id": 2738, "sample": "random", "date": "2019-02-16", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Questions about past knowledge."}
{"drop_id": 3129, "sample": "random", "date": "2019-03-20", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Slogan."}
{"drop_id": 3261, "sample": "random", "date": "2019-03-28", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'Enjoy the show' slogan."}
{"drop_id": 2810, "sample": "random", "date": "2019-02-19", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Meta about proofs."}
{"drop_id": 3139, "sample": "random", "date": "2019-03-21", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Empty reply."}
{"drop_id": 2855, "sample": "random", "date": "2019-02-21", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Recode le 2026-10-12 (revision 4, decision du responsable de l'etude) : disposition pretee aux adversaires ('They will fight' / 'stop at nothing'), pas un resultat futur annonce. Ancienne note : Recode le 2026-10-12 (revision 3, relecture complete). Annonce vague d'un comportement futur, comme 4484 ('They will fight'). Ancienne note : 'THEY WILL STOP AT NOTHING TO REGAIN POWER' is a general characterization, not a checkable event."}
{"drop_id": 3454, "sample": "random", "date": "2019-07-18", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Media criticism."}
{"drop_id": 4380, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-06-01", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Questions/claims about present narratives."}
{"drop_id": 4776, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-09-27", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Link only."}
{"drop_id": 4571, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-07-02", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Thanks."}
{"drop_id": 4135, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-05-07", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Slogan."}
{"drop_id": 4589, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-07-18", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Link only."}
{"drop_id": 4547, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-06-30", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Link only."}
{"drop_id": 4236, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-05-14", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Link + 'Panic?'."}
{"drop_id": 4356, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-05-30", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Link + comment."}
{"drop_id": 3929, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-04-10", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q implies that FISA-related indictments will come and will mark the start of public justice", "subjects": [], "event_type": "indictment", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "'FISA INDICTMENTS = START': implicit future indictments; no named target. The rest is 'Think X departures' (no prediction)."}
{"drop_id": 4153, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-05-08", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Long list of claims about past events (Crowdstrike, FBI Floor 7)."}
{"drop_id": 4310, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-05-24", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Claims and questions about past events (Susan Rice memo, Jan 5 meeting)."}
{"drop_id": 4136, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-05-07", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Questions about media campaign (present)."}
{"drop_id": 4795, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-10-01", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'Marathon end.' cryptic, no object."}
{"drop_id": 4609, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-07-20", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Comment."}
{"drop_id": 4363, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-05-31", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Definitions of insurgency/counterinsurgency; 'NEXT:' hints but asserts no event."}
{"drop_id": 4257, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-05-17", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'For future events [understanding]' too vague to be a prediction."}
{"drop_id": 4482, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-06-18", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Slogan ('not another 4-year election')."}
{"drop_id": 3893, "sample": "random", "date": "2020-03-09", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Meta about MSM attacks."}
{"drop_id": 4957, "sample": "random", "date": "2022-06-26", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'Established.' reply."}
{"drop_id": 4954, "sample": "random", "date": "2022-06-25", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'Shall we play a game once more?' rhetorical."}
{"drop_id": 5, "sample": "likely", "date": "2017-10-29", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Rhetorical questions ('Cover for possible future indictment?'); no assertion."}
{"drop_id": 69, "sample": "likely", "date": "2017-11-03", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'God speed to those who will be put in harms way' implies an operation but nothing checkable; prayer/tribute."}
{"drop_id": 243, "sample": "likely", "date": "2017-12-01", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q suggests that more Democratic politicians will step down / not seek re-election and face prosecution, with further developments next week", "subjects": ["Democratic Party politicians"], "event_type": "resignation", "deadline": "2017-12-10", "deadline_type": "relative", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "'Just wait until next week' (posted Friday 2017-12-01, so the week of 12/4-12/10) after 'good time to prosecute'."}
{"drop_id": 328, "sample": "likely", "date": "2017-12-11", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Slogans ('Light will expose darkness')."}
{"drop_id": 32, "sample": "likely", "date": "2017-11-01", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that an initial fast 'wave' of actions will happen and that some people will be jailed as deep cover agents", "subjects": [], "event_type": "arrest", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Explicit future arrests/jailings, but targets unnamed."}
{"drop_id": 446, "sample": "likely", "date": "2017-12-23", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Link only."}
{"drop_id": 120, "sample": "likely", "date": "2017-11-06", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Rhetorical questions."}
{"drop_id": 92, "sample": "likely", "date": "2017-11-05", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Rhetorical questions about Las Vegas shooting (past)."}
{"drop_id": 230, "sample": "likely", "date": "2017-11-25", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'Future posts will be relayed here' is about Q's own posting, not a real-world event."}
{"drop_id": 365, "sample": "likely", "date": "2017-12-19", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q implies a future classified operation involving Washington Dulles airport (IAD), in connection with a 'SHUTDOWN'", "subjects": [], "event_type": "military", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Highly cryptic; 'CLAS_OP_IAD_(future)' explicitly marks a future event. DECLAS_ATL is marked '(past)' and is not counted."}
{"drop_id": 954, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-03-18", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q announces major events ('BOOM') next week", "subjects": [], "event_type": "other", "deadline": "2018-03-25", "deadline_type": "relative", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Teaser with no object but anchored to a time window (next week = 3/19-3/25); counted as vague prediction per guideline."}
{"drop_id": 2294, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-09-28", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Quote + rhetorical question."}
{"drop_id": 2416, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-11-04", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that ANTIFA or other organizations are preparing a voter-intimidation push at 29+ battleground locations during the midterm elections", "subjects": ["ANTIFA"], "event_type": "other", "deadline": "2018-11-06", "deadline_type": "relative", "specificity": "specific"}, {"claim": "Q claims that uniformed and non-uniformed personnel will be stationed across the country on election day to safeguard the public", "subjects": [], "event_type": "other", "deadline": "2018-11-06", "deadline_type": "relative", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Deadline derived from context (midterm Election Day 2018-11-06), not stated."}
{"drop_id": 538, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-01-14", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q warns that major false flag attacks will be attempted this week", "subjects": [], "event_type": "attack", "deadline": "2018-01-21", "deadline_type": "relative", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Posted Sunday 2018-01-14; 'this week' read as the coming week (1/15-1/21). 'SILENCE WILL NOT LAST FOREVER' is a slogan, not counted."}
{"drop_id": 2455, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-11-07", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that Acting Attorney General Matthew Whitaker will not recuse himself from the Russia probe", "subjects": ["Matthew Whitaker"], "event_type": "other", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "specific"}], "notes": "Ref is the Reuters story on Schumer demanding Whitaker's recusal; 'There will be no recusal' is a clear checkable prediction."}
{"drop_id": 2207, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-09-18", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Quote of EO 13526 + slogans ('GAME OVER')."}
{"drop_id": 2007, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-08-30", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Rhetorical questions ('Will BO transcripts be released?', 'When will Sessions...')."}
{"drop_id": 2563, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-12-07", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that at some point a question about Q will be asked (implicitly to President Trump by the press)", "subjects": ["Donald Trump"], "event_type": "other", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Future event, falsifiable in principle, but no date and the addressee is implicit."}
{"drop_id": 2210, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-09-19", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q implies that Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein will leave or be fired", "subjects": ["Rod Rosenstein"], "event_type": "resignation", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "specific"}], "notes": "'Goodbye, Mr. Rosenstein' with an article on firing him if he defies the declassification order. Same treatment as 2252."}
{"drop_id": 2090, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-09-05", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Meta about photo proofs."}
{"drop_id": 1296, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-04-29", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that 'the next phase' will bring justice", "subjects": [], "event_type": "other", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Recode le 2026-10-12 (revision 2) : annonce vague d'un resultat futur = prediction vague. Ancienne note : 'The next phase will bring JUSTICE' is a vague slogan."}
{"drop_id": 735, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-02-12", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that the public will learn of what 'those in control' are discussing (release or collapse)", "subjects": [], "event_type": "disclosure", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Recode le 2026-10-12 (revision 2) : annonce vague d'un resultat futur = prediction vague. Ancienne note : 'the public will know' vague; options presented as a question."}
{"drop_id": 992, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-04-03", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'Drops will go fast' is about Q's own posting; rest slogans."}
{"drop_id": 1061, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-04-07", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Link + 'What a coincidence'."}
{"drop_id": 2020, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-08-30", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Statement of commitment ('We will gladly end our lives'), not a prediction."}
{"drop_id": 1233, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-04-21", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that Democrats will lose the Black vote once information about Haiti (Clinton dealings) is revealed", "subjects": ["Democratic Party", "Clintons"], "event_type": "election", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Conditional future outcome; 'Haiti' implicitly refers to the Clintons."}
{"drop_id": 1260, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-04-24", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Hard case: 'What will the texts reveal? MOAB or precursor?' questions only."}
{"drop_id": 2451, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-11-07", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Thanks to retiring congressmen (already announced)."}
{"drop_id": 2401, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-11-04", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Media criticism."}
{"drop_id": 1074, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-04-07", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Link + 'Read between the lines'."}
{"drop_id": 2063, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-09-02", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that the alleged Google/GMAIL elements will all connect eventually", "subjects": ["Google"], "event_type": "disclosure", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Recode le 2026-10-12 (revision 2) : annonce vague d'un resultat futur = prediction vague. Ancienne note : 'It will [ALL] connect eventually' is a vague slogan."}
{"drop_id": 2434, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-11-06", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q suggests that other countries will follow the US, implying Angela Merkel's fall from power", "subjects": ["Angela Merkel"], "event_type": "resignation", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "'The world will follow. Think Merkel.' in reply to an anon asking for help for Canada; object is inferred, hence vague."}
{"drop_id": 1630, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-06-28", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that symbolism will be the downfall of those it accuses (Freemasons)", "subjects": ["Freemasons"], "event_type": "other", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Recode le 2026-10-12 (revision 2) : annonce vague d'un resultat futur = prediction vague. Ancienne note : 'Symbolism will be their downfall' is a vague slogan."}
{"drop_id": 1332, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-05-11", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that information will become public showing criminal abuse of power by the Obama administration together with domestic and foreign dignitaries", "subjects": ["Barack Obama", "Obama administration"], "event_type": "disclosure", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Future disclosure with an identified target (Hussein administration) but no checkable content or date."}
{"drop_id": 2025, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-08-31", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Links + quote."}
{"drop_id": 780, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-02-16", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that DHS will submit a final report as early as March 2018 concluding that millions of illegal ballots were counted in the 2016 elections and recommending a nationwide investigation", "subjects": ["Department of Homeland Security"], "event_type": "disclosure", "deadline": "2018-03-31", "deadline_type": "explicit", "specificity": "specific"}], "notes": "'Future proves past' fictional report; 'as early as March [ ], 2018' gives an explicit month (end of month used)."}
{"drop_id": 699, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-02-10", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q announces that something bad for his opponents will happen next week ('We warned you')", "subjects": [], "event_type": "other", "deadline": "2018-02-18", "deadline_type": "relative", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Posted Saturday 2018-02-10; '[Next week]' = 2/12-2/18. Time-anchored teaser, no object."}
{"drop_id": 762, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-02-15", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q suggests that news about new drugs (flu-related) coming out will appear", "subjects": [], "event_type": "other", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Weak: 'Watch the news re: new drugs coming out'. Counted as vague prediction about upcoming news; borderline."}
{"drop_id": 1343, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-05-12", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that attacks against the movement will only get worse", "subjects": [], "event_type": "other", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Recode le 2026-10-12 (revision 2) : annonce vague d'un resultat futur = prediction vague. Ancienne note : Meta about infiltration of the movement; 'Attacks will only get worse' is vague, no object."}
{"drop_id": 1274, "sample": "likely", "date": "2018-04-26", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Hard case: 'Ready for tomorrow?' hints at an event but is a question with no asserted object; not counted."}
{"drop_id": 2930, "sample": "likely", "date": "2019-03-03", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that the declassification ordered by Trump will proceed once the DOJ Inspector General / AG Barr complete their work", "subjects": ["Donald Trump", "William Barr", "DOJ Inspector General"], "event_type": "declassification", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "specific"}], "notes": "Mostly a present-state claim ('already ordered', 'awaiting'), but it implies the declassification will happen after the IG step."}
{"drop_id": 2891, "sample": "likely", "date": "2019-02-25", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Slogan."}
{"drop_id": 3719, "sample": "likely", "date": "2019-12-18", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'Still tracking resignations?' question about past resignation."}
{"drop_id": 2686, "sample": "likely", "date": "2019-02-11", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Hard case: 'Will action be taken by DOJ/FBI? 2019?' rhetorical question, not an assertion."}
{"drop_id": 3183, "sample": "likely", "date": "2019-03-25", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Link + 'coincidence?'."}
{"drop_id": 3347, "sample": "likely", "date": "2019-05-24", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Question about past action."}
{"drop_id": 2711, "sample": "likely", "date": "2019-02-14", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q relays and endorses the announcement that Trump will sign the border-security bill and declare a national emergency", "subjects": ["Donald Trump"], "event_type": "other", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "relative", "specificity": "specific"}], "notes": "Recode le 2026-10-12 (revision 3, relecture complete). Regle des citations : Q reprend a son compte l'annonce de McConnell (#WinningBigly) ; annonce deja publique (triviale). Ancienne note : Claims Anons knew in advance (past)."}
{"drop_id": 3667, "sample": "likely", "date": "2019-12-14", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'Cruz_FISA public soon?' phrased as a question; 'Durham start' is a present claim."}
{"drop_id": 3599, "sample": "likely", "date": "2019-11-16", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that a prepared 'harvest' (implicitly evidence/report concerning James Comey: 'A Higher Loyalty', treason, sedition) will soon be delivered to the public", "subjects": ["James Comey"], "event_type": "disclosure", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "relative", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "'Soon will be delivered to the public'; the object is inferred from 'A Higher Loyalty' (Comey's book)."}
{"drop_id": 3321, "sample": "likely", "date": "2019-04-25", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Comment."}
{"drop_id": 3394, "sample": "likely", "date": "2019-07-09", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Comment on Biden tax returns (past)."}
{"drop_id": 3756, "sample": "likely", "date": "2019-12-28", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that 'something big' is coming", "subjects": [], "event_type": "other", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Recode le 2026-10-12 (revision 2) : annonce vague d'un resultat futur = prediction vague. Ancienne note : 'Something BIG is coming' is a vague slogan not anchored in time or object."}
{"drop_id": 3390, "sample": "likely", "date": "2019-07-09", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Comment."}
{"drop_id": 3417, "sample": "likely", "date": "2019-07-12", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Cryptic questions ('WHEN DOES A BIRD SING?', 'WATCH NYC'); no asserted event."}
{"drop_id": 2680, "sample": "likely", "date": "2019-02-10", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'BLOCKADE END > GOOD TO GO' present-state claim (Barr nomination)."}
{"drop_id": 3898, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-03-23", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Link + cryptic phrase."}
{"drop_id": 4846, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-10-11", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'Do you believe the election will be successfully rigged...?' rhetorical question."}
{"drop_id": 4581, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-07-17", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Link only."}
{"drop_id": 4395, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-06-03", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q, quoting a Fox News article, suggests that arrests among Antifa's top ranks are imminent, with indictments building", "subjects": ["Antifa"], "event_type": "arrest", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "relative", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Prediction is in the quoted article; Q endorses it ('re_read again'). Counted, but hard case (attribution)."}
{"drop_id": 4768, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-09-25", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that 'judgement' is coming", "subjects": [], "event_type": "other", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Recode le 2026-10-12 (revision 2) : annonce vague d'un resultat futur = prediction vague. Ancienne note : 'Judgement is coming' slogan."}
{"drop_id": 4598, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-07-19", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q suggests that declassifications will occur in the days ahead", "subjects": [], "event_type": "declassification", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "relative", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "'Follow for days ahead [DECLAS]'; ref is a CBS Herridge tweet. 'Days ahead' not convertible to a precise date."}
{"drop_id": 4924, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-10-22", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q announces that 'booms' (major events) are en route for tomorrow", "subjects": [], "event_type": "other", "deadline": "2020-10-23", "deadline_type": "relative", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Time-anchored teaser ('TOMORROW'), no object."}
{"drop_id": 4668, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-09-11", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Links about past arrests."}
{"drop_id": 4215, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-05-12", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Link + 'Listen'."}
{"drop_id": 4484, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-06-20", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Recode le 2026-10-12 (revision 4, decision du responsable de l'etude) : disposition pretee aux adversaires ('They will fight' / 'stop at nothing'), pas un resultat futur annonce. Ancienne note : Recode le 2026-10-12 (revision 2) : annonce vague d'un resultat futur = prediction vague. Ancienne note : Questions about SDNY; 'They will fight' vague."}
{"drop_id": 4627, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-08-26", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that symbolism will be the downfall of the Democratic Party", "subjects": ["Democratic Party"], "event_type": "other", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Recode le 2026-10-12 (revision 2) : annonce vague d'un resultat futur = prediction vague. Ancienne note : Slogans."}
{"drop_id": 4649, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-09-10", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Comment on past report."}
{"drop_id": 4354, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-05-30", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that President Trump will take action against the violent rioters/'domestic terrorists'", "subjects": ["Donald Trump"], "event_type": "other", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}, {"claim": "Q claims that DHS, FBI and DOJ action is coming and that investigations may lead to Democratic and financial supporters of the rioters", "subjects": ["Department of Homeland Security", "FBI", "DOJ", "Democratic Party"], "event_type": "indictment", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "none", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Posted during the May 2020 riots; 'action coming' x2 plus 'investigations may lead to [D][F] support targets'."}
{"drop_id": 3972, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-04-16", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Link + comment."}
{"drop_id": 3918, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-04-09", "is_prediction": true, "predictions": [{"claim": "Q claims that 'difficult truths' about the media and the Democratic Party will soon come to light", "subjects": ["Democratic Party"], "event_type": "disclosure", "deadline": null, "deadline_type": "relative", "specificity": "vague"}], "notes": "Recode le 2026-10-12 (revision 2) : annonce vague d'un resultat futur = prediction vague. Ancienne note : 'Difficult truths will soon see the light of day' vague slogan without object."}
{"drop_id": 4851, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-10-14", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Questions about the Biden laptop; no assertion of future event."}
{"drop_id": 3881, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-02-25", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Questions ('why no arrests yet?')."}
{"drop_id": 4766, "sample": "likely", "date": "2020-09-25", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "'DA no proof argument coming?' phrased as a question."}
{"drop_id": 4961, "sample": "likely", "date": "2022-11-09", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Rhetorical question + slogan."}
{"drop_id": 4958, "sample": "likely", "date": "2022-06-29", "is_prediction": false, "predictions": [], "notes": "Rhetorical questions about Cassidy Hutchinson."}