Q drops against the facts Français

Key figures

The study's main results, each with a stable address and a ready-to-copy citation. Figures are recomputed with every version of the site, so cite the version you consulted.

CSV · Cite

  1. The corpus contains 4,966 "Q" drops, posted between Oct 28, 2017 and Nov 27, 2022.

    Details and method on the Activity page · #drops

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "The corpus contains 4,966 'Q' drops, posted between Oct 28, 2017 and Nov 27, 2022." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#drops

  2. Q posted at least one drop on 533 days, over a 1,857-day period.

    Details and method on the Activity page · #jours-actifs

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "Q posted at least one drop on 533 days, over a 1,857-day period." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#jours-actifs

  3. The record is 64 drops in a single day, on Mar 28, 2019.

    Details and method on the Activity page · #record

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "The record is 64 drops in a single day, on Mar 28, 2019." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#record

  4. Q's longest silence lasted 563 days, from Dec 8, 2020 to Jun 24, 2022.

    Details and method on the Activity page · #silence

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "Q's longest silence lasted 563 days, from Dec 8, 2020 to Jun 24, 2022." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#silence

  5. A drop contains on average 1.39 question marks, and 38% of drops contain at least one.

    Details and method on the Discourse page · #questions

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "A drop contains on average 1.39 question marks, and 38% of drops contain at least one." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#questions

  6. A Trump tweet follows a drop within 5 minutes in 4.2% of cases, against 4.0% expected by chance (local null model, p = 0.227), so no synchrony is demonstrated.

    Details and method on the Q and Trump page · #deltas

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "A Trump tweet follows a drop within 5 minutes in 4.2% of cases, against 4.0% expected by chance (local null model, p = 0.227), so no synchrony is demonstrated." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#deltas

  7. 59 drops quote a Trump tweet, a median of 114 min after it was posted.

    Details and method on the Q and Trump page · #tweets-cites

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "59 drops quote a Trump tweet, a median of 114 min after it was posted." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#tweets-cites

  8. The sharpest stylistic break in the corpus falls around Nov 25, 2017, when Q moved to 8chan.

    Details and method on the Discourse page · #stylometrie

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "The sharpest stylistic break in the corpus falls around Nov 25, 2017, when Q moved to 8chan." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#stylometrie

  9. The most cited actors are Donald Trump (386), Mainstream media (241), Barack Obama (166), by number of drops. 33% of drops name at least one actor from the dictionary.

    Details and method on the Actors page · #acteurs

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "The most cited actors are Donald Trump (386), Mainstream media (241), Barack Obama (166), by number of drops. 33% of drops name at least one actor from the dictionary." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#acteurs

  10. Relative to world news (GDELT), the actors Q most over-represents are George Soros (×15.8), Hillary Clinton (×8.0), Democratic Party (×3.1).

    Details and method on the News page · #surrepresentation

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "Relative to world news (GDELT), the actors Q most over-represents are George Soros (×15.8), Hillary Clinton (×8.0), Democratic Party (×3.1)." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#surrepresentation

  11. The rank correlation between the countries Q mentions and their weight in world news is 0.61.

    Details and method on the News page · #pays

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "The rank correlation between the countries Q mentions and their weight in world news is 0.61." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#pays

  12. The event that most raised curiosity about QAnon on Wikipedia was First widely covered "Q" signs at a Trump rally in Tampa (views ×13.3 the following week).

    Details and method on the Public interest page · #curiosite

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "The event that most raised curiosity about QAnon on Wikipedia was First widely covered 'Q' signs at a Trump rally in Tampa (views ×13.3 the following week)." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#curiosite

  13. 13% of drops (598) contain at least one prediction, i.e. 846 predictions, 203 of them specific.

    Details and method on the Predictions page · #predictions

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "13% of drops (598) contain at least one prediction, i.e. 846 predictions, 203 of them specific." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#predictions

  14. For 129 predictions with a full date, the deadline falls a median of 7 days after the drop, 50% within a week.

    Details and method on the Statistics page · #horizon

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "For 129 predictions with a full date, the deadline falls a median of 7 days after the drop, 50% within a week." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#horizon

  15. 39 of the 140 checkable predictions came true, i.e. 28% (95% CI 21%–36%).

    Details and method on the Predictions page · #realisation

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "39 of the 140 checkable predictions came true, i.e. 28% (95% CI 21%–36%)." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#realisation

  16. Excluding already announced or scheduled events, the fulfilment rate drops to 16% (95% CI 10%–24%, 108 predictions).

    Details and method on the Predictions page · #realisation-hors-triviales

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "Excluding already announced or scheduled events, the fulfilment rate drops to 16% (95% CI 10%–24%, 108 predictions)." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#realisation-hors-triviales

  17. Of the 8 checkable arrests and indictments announced by Q, 0 came true.

    Details and method on the Predictions page · #arrestations

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "Of the 8 checkable arrests and indictments announced by Q, 0 came true." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#arrestations

  18. The model chosen to annotate the corpus is gpt-5.6-luna (F1 = 0.86 on the reference set, corpus cost ≈ $0.59).

    Details and method on the Predictions page · #modele

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "The model chosen to annotate the corpus is gpt-5.6-luna (F1 = 0.86 on the reference set, corpus cost ≈ $0.59)." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#modele

  19. Q posts in bursts (burstiness B = 0.91). 26% of drops follow the previous one within 5 minutes, 75% within an hour.

    Details and method on the Statistics page · #rafales

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "Q posts in bursts (burstiness B = 0.91). 26% of drops follow the previous one within 5 minutes, 75% within an hour." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#rafales

  20. Drops group into 1,743 sessions (gaps under 30 minutes), and 85% belong to a multi-drop session.

    Details and method on the Statistics page · #sessions

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "Drops group into 1,743 sessions (gaps under 30 minutes), and 85% belong to a multi-drop session." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#sessions

  21. Weekly volume splits into 6 activity regimes.

    Details and method on the Statistics page · #regimes

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "Weekly volume splits into 6 activity regimes." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#regimes

  22. Drops contain 2,618 links to 375 sites, and the most cited news outlet is foxnews.com (149 drops).

    Details and method on the Statistics page · #medias

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "Drops contain 2,618 links to 375 sites, and the most cited news outlet is foxnews.com (149 drops)." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#medias

  23. 8% of drops reference an earlier Q drop, 23% an anonymous post.

    Details and method on the Statistics page · #autocitation

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "8% of drops reference an earlier Q drop, 23% an anonymous post." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#autocitation

  24. 6.3% of drops use religious or moral vocabulary and 9 quote a Bible verse.

    Details and method on the Statistics page · #religion

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "6.3% of drops use religious or moral vocabulary and 9 quote a Bible verse." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#religion

  25. Flesch reading ease is 65, with 7.0 words per sentence on average.

    Details and method on the Statistics page · #lisibilite

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "Flesch reading ease is 65, with 7.0 words per sentence on average." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#lisibilite

  26. In the horoscope test (300 drops, blind), the model recognises the real news period in 75% of decided cases for the 7 days before the drop, and in 68% for the 30 days after. Yet 6% of randomly drawn periods still get a score of at least 5 out of 10.

    Details and method on the Predictions page · #horoscope

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "In the horoscope test (300 drops, blind), the model recognises the real news period in 75% of decided cases for the 7 days before the drop, and in 68% for the 30 days after. Yet 6% of randomly drawn periods still get a score of at least 5 out of 10." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#horoscope

  27. 17 prediction subjects (same event, same actor) are announced in at least three different months (74 predictions). In 7 of them the announcement returns after a checked failure.

    Details and method on the Predictions page · #propheties-recyclees

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "17 prediction subjects (same event, same actor) are announced in at least three different months (74 predictions). In 7 of them the announcement returns after a checked failure." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#propheties-recyclees

  28. Q references one of his own drops 387 times, 97% of them the same day. These self-quotations are additions, almost never after-the-fact "proof".

    Details and method on the Predictions page · #autocitations-delai

    Geffroy, S. (2026). "Q references one of his own drops 387 times, 97% of them the same day. These self-quotations are additions, almost never after-the-fact 'proof'." In Q drops against the facts [website, version 2ff16e1]. https://s-geffroy.github.io/QAnon/en/figures.html#autocitations-delai